event of small probability的意思|示意

A small shift in the predicted probability of an extreme tail event can wreak havoc.

对一个极端的末尾事件的概率预测上的较小改变，能够导致一场大破坏。

Markets might be undermined by what Nassim Taleb, an author, has described as a “black swan”—an event with a small probability of happening, but a big impact if it does.

市场有可能被作家塔雷伯所描述的“黑天鹅”（发生几率很小，但可造成重大影响的事件）所击垮。

The tail of random variable's distribution is the focus of the risk analysis because the event with small probability often occurs in this area.

在风险分析中，随机变量的尾部一直是风险分析的重点，因为灾难事件往往就在这个区域里发生。

The small probability event has a wide range of applications in daily life.

小概率事件在日常生活中有着很广泛的应用。

Large deviation theory provides a good method to calculus the probability of rare event, which will have great impact once it happens although its probability may be very small.

大偏差理论提供了一个很好的办法来计算小概率事件的概率，尽管这种事件发生的概率可能会很小，但是一旦发生将会产生巨大的影响。